Your Body Wasn't Built To Handle Three Trump Elections
so here is something to soothe your mind.
The human body wasn’t built for this—I know mine definitely wasn’t. No amount of free Deepak Chopra meditations on YouTube can soothe our collective, election-induced acid reflux.
We’ve got one candidate who could’ve handled a question about Biden with a bit more finesse, and another who climbs inside garbage trucks to distract from the fact that his quotes are indistinguishable from Hitler’s. As Van Jones puts it, we’re looking at a woman who’s flawless and a man who’s lawless.
But here’s why I’m feeling genuinely hopeful as we head into the final stretch. Two weeks ago, Trump seemed to have the momentum, but now, Harris is picking up speed. Here are some uplifting trends I’ve noticed, and I hope they bring you a little peace of mind to help quiet any election anxiety you’re feeling. Consider this a toolkit for mental wellness during election season—something to keep you grounded, focused, and feeling good as we approach the finish line.
1-Silver Surge: Pennsylvania Seniors Ditch Trump for Harris: In Pennsylvania, (where i’m writing to you from right now!) early voting data reveals a surprising twist: seniors, a group that’s long leaned Republican, are favoring Kamala Harris over Donald Trump. Democrats currently make up 58% of early ballots cast by voters aged 65 and older, compared to 35% for Republicans, despite both parties having nearly equal senior registrants. Polls confirm Trump trailing Harris by 5 points among these voters, a stark shift from 2020 when he captured 53% of the senior vote. Democratic strategist Tom Bonier calls this unexpected “silver surge” a hopeful sign for Harris, as seniors play a crucial role in battleground states. Grumpy old men FTW!!
2-High Black Voter Turnout Signals Hope for Democrats: Early voting in Georgia has shattered records, with nearly 873,000 Black voters casting ballots before Election Day—part of an impressive 3.2 million early votes statewide. This surge goes beyond previous years, and while metro Atlanta leads the charge, smaller counties are also seeing unprecedented participation. With a 45% statewide turnout already, Georgia is shaping up to be a fierce battleground, and this historic turnout among Black voters signals a promising boost for Kamala Harris in the final stretch. This is a really good sign!!
3-Unprecedented Female Turnout Could Become Harris’ Secret Weapon: Women are turning out in record numbers for early voting in the 2024 election, with women accounting for roughly 55% of early ballots cast across battleground states, compared to 45% by men. This 10-point gender gap is a hopeful sign for Kamala Harris, as female voters are seen as key to her victory. Democratic strategists, surprised by the surge in female turnout, see the lack of a similar surge among male voters as encouraging, with some states even exceeding female turnout from 2020. Harris has focused on winning over moderate suburban women, especially following the Supreme Court’s overturning of Roe v. Wade. Polling shows Harris making inroads, especially among suburban women and non-college-educated white women. This high female turnout is providing Democrats with optimism, counterbalancing concerns over increased Republican early voting numbers. Women cancelling out their conservative husband’s vote??? We love to see it.
4-Kamala Harris Is Closing In on Trump Even in Some Deep Red States: A new Kansas Speaks survey shows Harris trailing Trump by only five points, sparking excitement about a potential shift in this traditionally conservative stronghold. While the survey primarily focuses on state issues, these close margins hint at broader political change. Kansas has already shown progressive momentum, from rejecting abortion restrictions to re-electing Democratic Governor Laura Kelly. Although a full swing-state transformation may be ambitious, Trump’s shrinking lead suggests Kansas voters may be more open to change. With Democrats working to break the Republican supermajority in the state legislature, these results offer a hopeful sign that even the reddest states are inching toward a new political landscape.
Kamala Harris is also positioned to achieve the Democratic Party’s strongest presidential performance in Texas since 1992, according to preliminary data from YouGov’s Cooperative Election Study. The survey puts Trump with a narrow 4-point lead over Harris, a notably tight margin in Texas, where Democrats have been steadily closing the gap. Recent election cycles saw a 15.8-point Republican win shrink to 9 points for Hillary Clinton in 2016 and just 5.6 points for Biden in 2020. While Harris may not flip Texas, this trend signals a shift in voter sentiment, with Harris holding a significant lead among younger voters and Democrats increasingly hopeful that Texas could become a competitive state in the near future.
5-Black Men Shift Toward Harris as Trump’s Support Slips: One of the stories in this election was that Trump was going to get record support from Black men, but a new NAACP survey reveals a significant drop in his support among young Black men, with numbers falling from 27% to 21% in just a month. Meanwhile, Kamala Harris has seen her support among this group climb from 51% to 59%, reflecting growing enthusiasm in a critical voter demographic. The poll suggests that young Black men who were leaning toward Trump are losing motivation, while Harris’ focus on reaching Black voters is resonating. NAACP President Derrick Johnson is confident this trend will intensify as more voters realize what’s at stake, making Harris’ campaign increasingly optimistic about securing the Black vote in battleground states like Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Georgia. It doesn’t help that Trump held a Coachella for racists rally where a “comedian” made a watermelon joke about a Black man in the audience. Black men are taking notice, and Harris is gaining momentum.
6-Speaking of That Rally…It Might Make Him Lose the Election: Trump's racist rally comments about Puerto Rico being an “island of garbage” are reportedly “spreading like wildfire” among Pennsylvania’s 500,000 Puerto Rican voters, and the backlash could be a game-changer. Many Puerto Ricans, including some former Trump supporters, are reconsidering their vote or switching to Harris in response to offensive remarks made by the pro-Trump comedian who won’t be named. With Pennsylvania’s razor-thin margins, losing support from this sizable and mobilized group could cost Trump the state—and potentially the election. Wouldn’t that be Shakespearean!
As we head into the final days of this election, let’s hold onto hope. We’ve seen incredible shifts, record-breaking turnouts, and people showing up with passion and purpose. This is a reminder that change is not only possible but happening right before us. No matter how loud the noise or how tense the race, our voices are stronger—and together, we’re pushing for a future built on progress, empathy, and unity. So let’s keep moving forward, keep showing up, and remember that each vote and every bit of hope we bring is part of a much bigger story we’re writing together!! Even with all this momentum, this election will be down to a few votes so every conversation you have matters! I know I sound like a broken record by now, but you’d be surprised how persuadable people are when you just listen!! Let’s win this!!
Thank you, Liz, for pulling together all this positive data. What a coalition of supporters for the Harris/Walz team.
So thankful for this newsletter and anytime you cross my Instagram feed! The best way through this is with community, and I’m grateful to be a part of this one 🫶🏼